How to Trade This Options Market
This is just a little blog to remind you about your options trading management. Everyone needs reminders, especially option traders. I will often say in my Group Coaching class to know exactly what you will do no matter what happens before you enter any trade. The same can be said about the trading environment we […]
Trade Talk and Tweets: the New Fundamentals
Fundamental data are also known as event risk. Professional traders keep a close eye on the economic calendar for events or reports that could alter a trend or start a new one. A treasury trader might hedge a long position by buying 10-year note puts or selling calls just before employment or inflation reports. Many […]
How to Save Time Analyzing Markets
Since leaving the trading floor at the Chicago Board of Trade I’ve been tethered to my desktop computer. My office is my workshop, and all the tools I need for trading market analysis are there. Since the futures markets virtually never close except on Saturday, the leash to my tools is short and therefore constrictive. […]
How to Catch Directional Moves
One of my chores is to write a weekly piece that enlightens traders. At times my interpretations are spot on, almost prophetic. And sometimes I am clueless. My 30 years of experience in the futures markets has taught me to accept, almost embrace, being wrong. Traders must embrace risk. No one likes being wrong, but […]
A Bullish Trade Setup to Consider
The market remains predominantly bullish, and we have considered potential bullish trade more than a few times in our Group Coaching class. One setup I continue to love is the 2-bar bullish break from a bullish base. When a Bullish Base is Created? A bullish base is created when a stock moves considerably higher usually […]
How to Become a Successful Trader
I was fortunate to spend most of my career at the Chicago Board of Trade as a broker in the 30-year bond pit. The ’80s and ’90s were the heyday for interest trading pits. Most days were filled with big swings and lots of volume. The pits were packed and often became chaotic and even […]
Think Like a Pro Trader
Spend time with a broker or pit trader from the era when all trades were executed at an exchange and you will learn about the auction process and the information it provides. Pits were created to facilitate trade. To an untrained eye a trading pit looks like a mess of mad, aggressive people wearing crazy-colored […]
A Reminder to Review Your Trades
I have mentioned this before and will continue to mention it as much as I can: Please record your trades and review them often. Simply put, there is no better way to see what you are doing wrong and doing right. To me, it has always been an eye-opening experience to go back and review […]
Trading Time – How to Read Open and Close Clues
Monitoring the trading time of day when extremes (high and low) are made can be helpful when timing entry and exit of a position. Liquidity is king. Large orders from professional traders are likely to be executed when volume is at a peak. The first hour of trade is frequently the highest volume or most […]
Traders Often Need to Be Reminded
Well over a year ago, I wrote about several of my favorite sayings that of course apply to trading. Well this is a short blog to remind everyone how important this one particular saying is to me and most likely to you. With the volatile market we have encountered over the past several months, there […]
Key Economic Sector and ETF Watchlist
Most days in futures class we review direction indicators for the major sectors of the economy. These sectors often correlate either directly or indirectly. For example, a rise in interest rates may affect currencies, which might have an impact on stocks or precious metals and energy. A small move in one of these sectors is […]
This Is a Rough Time for Many Option Traders
The gist of this blog is you don’t always have to trade. Market volatility has been crazy as of late. The market had its most bearish Christmas Eve ever, and then on the next trading session the Dow closed up over a thousand points. And then the session after that, the market declined yet again. […]
Protecting Profit During Volatility
This year has been quite volatile, possibly the most volatile ever for stock indexes. The first and fourth quarters saw average day ranges that spanned nearly twice the norm. Day ranges have been closer to the length of a historic average week. When the moves are so extraordinary, risk doubles, as does profit potential. An […]
Option Trading Is Always a Trade-Off
Here is just a quick reminder that everything you do has consequences in option trading. In other words, everything is essentially a risk/reward trade-off. Just think about it for a second: If you give up potential profit, you get a better risk/reward and vice versa. Let me go through an example with you below. Suppose […]
Watch Trade Truce’s Impact on Price Action
Last weekend Argentina hosted the G20 summit, which comprised 20 leaders from around the globe. There were three agenda priorities: the future of work, infrastructure for development and a sustainable food future. Trade and tariffs may not have been listed as priorities, but they certainly were. When the commodity markets opened Sunday night there were […]
How to Gauge Trade Patterns
In the first of the two SPY charts below, we see a steady rally in 2017 where the average month range spanned about 8 points. Then in January 2018 the range more than doubled the average bringing on an overbought signal. It was the last thrust higher that ended the nearly nonstop yearlong rally. The […]
How to Select Strikes
Recently I have been reeducating myself with option strategies. It has been over 15 years since I executed an option order at the CBOT. After joining the MTM team, I viewed many of the teaching videos and listened to Dan and John K. talk option strategy with students. Thus, I am eager to use options […]
Consider the Close of the Market
When the market closes, there is never a guarantee of whether it will open higher or lower the next session. If we knew that, trading would be a whole lot easier. But there is something I look for on a constant basis that I have found helps me tremendously. It is to see how the […]
Top Picking and Bottom Fishing All About Timing
Growing up in Chicago had plenty of perks: a beautiful skyline and parks, plus great food, entertainment and sports. But for the harsh winters, it is my kinda town. After college I had the opportunity to work at the futures exchanges, Chicago Board of Trade and Chicago Mercantile Exchange. My first experience on a trading […]
How Contract Size Affects Option Greeks
Understanding the option greeks is pivotal to truly understanding and trading options. As I like to say, the greeks are like the controls on a car. They give you an idea of how the trade should perform based on the underlying, time and volatility. But one thing about the greeks that is often overlooked is […]
Using Bell Curves to Spot Market Trends
Trend and consolidate, run and rest, trend and chop are expressions often used to describe the two things markets do. They move from balance to imbalance and back. Different strategies are employed during a trend cycle vs. a consolidation phase. When a market is trending, there tends to be very little overlap in prices from […]
